Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.307133 3.874160 4.527559 5.340413 6.330375 7.504299 9.012738
2025-01-12 2.502098 3.224170 4.156479 5.466843 7.290744 9.784504 13.531473
2025-01-19 2.020726 2.762534 3.791498 5.357002 7.740104 11.336654 17.386947
2025-01-26 1.824544 2.622909 3.800682 5.721846 8.891713 14.132887 23.954378
2025-02-02 1.647815 2.469165 3.744659 5.952025 9.857722 16.861167 31.348242
2025-02-09 1.517095 2.358337 3.726007 6.223546 10.937872 20.065418 40.852597
2025-02-16 1.379510 2.212151 3.619797 6.312668 11.693325 22.854001 50.629589
2025-02-23 1.270255 2.095686 3.542292 6.432410 12.527127 26.038488 62.753156
2025-03-02 1.152956 1.948365 3.385638 6.366213 12.954139 28.446401 74.042973
2025-03-09 1.075159 1.861074 3.325590 6.480168 13.799008 32.108601 90.822500
2025-03-16 0.987598 1.744583 3.192586 6.414950 14.212921 34.817385 106.220021
2025-03-23 0.913993 1.645773 3.080694 6.375045 14.678936 37.829916 124.553866
2025-03-30 0.826486 1.520646 2.920537 6.251043 15.051523 41.185044 148.710774
2025-04-06 0.769407 1.451251 2.871766 6.395490 16.243639 47.812649 193.850012
2025-04-13 0.698961 1.344453 2.724362 6.263869 16.617398 51.977147 232.772307
2025-04-20 0.677099 1.336194 2.793791 6.702822 18.862906 64.181781 331.460779
2025-04-27 0.646034 1.303583 2.801531 6.980253 20.718869 76.204770 451.366098
2025-05-04 0.620343 1.279249 2.824665 7.307973 22.894316 91.283551 626.747885
2025-05-11 0.585303 1.229041 2.776168 7.415647 24.336577 104.178938 818.762215
2025-05-18 0.555374 1.187016 2.741898 7.560396 26.001139 119.747171 1087.217518
2025-05-25 0.518413 1.123892 2.643493 7.480363 26.740786 130.977031 1348.824024
2025-06-01 0.493892 1.088177 2.612981 7.618152 28.491070 150.157426 1806.376166
2025-06-08 0.463255 1.033918 2.524231 7.539283 29.257448 163.913412 2255.909528